Monday, November 7, 2016

WHY DO POLLS ALWAYS TIGHTEN BEFORE AN ELECTION?

TOP OF THE NEWS:

- Why do polls always tighten right before an election? (Slate) "Is end-game narrowing in the polls a real phenomenon? Yes. In 10 of the 15 presidential elections from 1944- 2000, the candidate who was leading in the polls on Labor Day saw his margin shrink by the time of the final poll. (This includes Thomas Dewey, who managed to lose to Harry Truman in 1948 despite never trailing in the polls.) If you average together all 15 of those contests, the Labor Day spread was cut in half by Election Day—although the early leader won the popular vote in every case except Dewey-Truman. In other words, while last-minute poll tightening is far from death and taxes, it is a real phenomenon."

BUSINESS/FINANCE:

- The Money Management Gospel of Yale’s Endowment Guru (NYT) "And through his graduates, his investment style has spread to the nation’s prominent schools and foundations. Today, Mr. Swensen and former protégés oversee nearly $100 billion in endowment money for schools including M.I.T., Stanford, the University of Pennsylvania, Bowdoin, Wesleyan and Princeton (which Mr. Golden manages). Other alumni are running the Rockefeller Foundation and the Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation and working at the YMCA Retirement Fund and the Metropolitan Museum of Art."

LONG READS:

- An American in a Strange Land (NYT)

NEWS:

- Strong Women Need Apply (Ozy) "The dilemma? As a society, we see good women as compassionate, caring and perhaps flashing a nice smile. The terms we associate with good leaders, on the other hand — like aggressive and decisive — make it hard for women to be seen as good at both. 'They really can’t satisfy both sides of the bind,' says Bystrom, noting how men are never accused of smiling too little or being overprepared."

- Schools That Work (NYT) "The briefest summary is this: Many charter schools fail to live up to their promise, but one type has repeatedly shown impressive results. They devote more of their resources to classroom teaching and less to almost everything else. They keep students in class for more hours. They set high standards for students and try to instill confidence in them. They focus on giving teachers feedback about their craft and helping them get better."

- How Russia’s lone aircraft carrier will change the fight in Syria (WaPo)

- No Laptop, No Phone, No Desk: UBS Reinvents the Work Space (NYT) and ‘We Almost Have Riots’: Tensions Flare in Silicon Valley Over Growth (NYT)

SCIENCE:


- Climate change is turning into a race between politics and physics (WaPo) "But most scientists agree that the world continues to move too slowly. The current pledges countries have made under the Paris agreement would still allow the world to warm by 3 degrees Celsius or more above pre-industrial levels, an amount well beyond the 2-degree threshold that many experts agree is likely to trigger severe changes to the environment. In the meantime, 2016 has offered a litany of grim reminders of an already changing climate, from extensive coral death at the Great Barrier Reef to particularly sharp Arctic temperatures in a year virtually certain to become the warmest in recorded history."

- The audacious plan to bring back supersonic flight — and change air travel forever (Vox)

TECHNOLOGY:
- Google’s Chrome Hackers Are About to Upend Your Idea of Web Security (Wired) "Starting in January, Chrome will flip the web’s security model: Instead of warning users only about HTTPS-encrypted sites with faulty or misconfi­gured encryption, as Chrome currently does, it will instead flag as “not secure” any unencrypted sites that accept a username and password or a credit card. That unmistakable alert will appear to the left of Chrome’s address bar."

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